Just got the news.
See for yourself: China is dead as dodo.
https://nitter.fdn.fr/DrEricDing/status/1604748747640119296[*quote*]
Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
⚠️THERMONUCLEAR BAD—Hospitals completely overwhelmed in China ever since restrictions dropped. Epidemiologist estimate >60% of 🇨🇳 & 10% of Earth’s population likely infected over next 90 days. Deaths likely in the millions—plural. This is just the start—🧵
Inconvenient Truths by Jennifer Zeng 曾錚真言
Dec 19, 2022 · 8:01 AM UTC
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
2) Summary of #CCP's current #COVID goal: “Let whoever needs to be infected infected, let whoever needs to die die. Early infections, early deaths, early peak, early resumption of production.” @jenniferzeng97
Dead bodies piled up in NE China in 1 night—
Inconvenient Truths by Jennifer Zeng 曾錚真言
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
3) Doubling time in China may not be days anymore. Doubling time now possibly “hours” says some experts — let that sink in. R is hard to calculate if doubling is <1 day because it’s hard to PCR test that fast. The point is 🇨🇳 & the 🌎 is in deep trouble.
npr.org/sections/goatsandsod…
COVID spreading faster than ever in China. 800 million could be infected this winter
Scientists predict China will see the largest COVID surge of the pandemic this winter, with hundreds of millions of people infected. But some experts say that it could have been even worse.
npr.org
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
4) The deaths in mainland China is being hugely underreported outside of 🇨🇳. Through a survey of hospitals, funeral parlors & related funeral industry chains in Beijing—there is a recent explosion in funeral services caused by the sharp increase in deaths.
rfi.fr/tw/%E4%B8%AD%E5%9C%8B…
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
5) Example—cremation in Beijing nonstop. Morgues are overloaded. Refrigerated containers needed. 24/7 funerals. 2000 bodies backlogged for cremations. Sound familiar? It is spring 2020 all over again— but this time for China, emulating more Western-mass infection approach. 🤦🏻♂️
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
6) Westerns think there is a fever and antibiotic shortage now? ➡️Wait until China’s production is diverted from exports! Here—people rushed to a pharmaceutical factory to buy ibuprofen because it is completely sold out elsewhere! Dec 18, in #Zhuhai City.
Inconvenient Truths by Jennifer Zeng 曾錚真言130
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
7) Yes I care because I was born in China — but also because I’m an epidemiologist (my D degree is in it), & I’ve seen this shit show before. What happens in China doesn’t stay in 🇨🇳— Wuhan was our lesson 3 years ago. The global fallout of this 2022-2023 wave will not be small.👇Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
25 Jan 2021
The “HOLY MOTHER OF GOD” tweet was exactly 1 year ago today.
For those who have been with me this past year, I hope and pray your families are safe.
Let’s work together to end this pandemic. #COVID19 nymag.com/intelligencer/amp/…
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
I’m going to pause for a moment—am I saying this will be the start of another “Thermonuclear bad” #COVID wave worldwide? Not necessarily via virus directly— but the global economic fallout from China’s new mega tsunami wave will be ugly. You can ignore my words at own peril.⬇️Vincent Rajkumar
@VincentRK
25 Oct 2021
On Jan 24, 2020 @DrEricDing posted a massive warning about the impending pandemic: The Holy Mother of God thread.
"We are now faced with the most virulent virus 🦠 epidemic the world has ever seen," Eric wrote.
As I read his thread again today, all of it has sadly come true
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
9) 1-2 million deaths in China is a very common number lately—I’ve seen the models— it’s certainly possible. It could be higher if govt doesn’t do anything, lower if govt curbs virus with heavy mitigations again. ➡️But anti-China-zero-COVID folks should accept their hand in this.Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 18
Ever stop to wonder why Republicans are so anti-China-zero-COVID? With an outlook for 🇨🇳 now hundreds of millions falling ill, 1-2 million deaths—& its economy set to tank in 2023—maybe they were more anti-China & wanted China/its people to burn all along. bloomberg.com/news/newslette… nitter.fdn.fr/i/web/status/160…177
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
10) We need more collective empathy in this world. Just because something happens in a faraway city somewhere that you’ve never heard of—doesn’t mean it won’t affect you. Chances are— in this world—it will affect you. And it may affect / harm our children… may they forgive us.
Larissa Nekhlyudov
@DrN_CancerPCP
2 Oct 2021
Of the 700,000 white flags on the National Mall honoring lives lost to Covid-19, I happen to read this one! 🙏 @DrEricDing
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
11) Schools are closed in Shanghai for the next month, and in many other outbreak cities. This comes just weeks after restrictions on COVID were lifted. Protecting kids is also protecting their parents / caretakers and preventing them from being orphaned by a pandemic.
Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 18
⚠️Shanghai has ordered most of its schools to take classes online as #COVID cases & hospitalizations soar. Nurseries and childcare centres will also shut. Complete reversal after restrictions were eased earlier this month. Frustrating but it protects kids.
bbc.com/news/world-asia-6401…
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
12) so what is going on with China’s vaccination situation? There is a lot of vaccine resistance in the elderly. Additionally, the newer #Omicron sub variants, 2 shots not enough - and 3 shots of China’s main CoronaVac may not be enough again for bad evasive new variants.
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
13) A deeper problem lies in the weaker CoronaVac (by SinoVac) & Sinopharm vaccines. Notice how even with 3 shots of main CoronaVac shot, neutralization performance against newer recent #omicron variants is poor—this is bad. China isn’t using bivalent yet.
biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/…
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
14) That said, even with recent #Ba5 infection or a recent BA5 bivalent booster, while neutralization is improved, it’s only slightly better. But modest against some of the really troublesome variants China is facing. It’s not the same old Wuhan strain anymore.
HT @yunlong_cao
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
15) This is real—In case you need video proof of the cremations—Staff at Beijing's largest Babaoshan funeral house confirmed that all of its incinerators were working but were still unable to meet demand, resulting in a 20-day backlog...
HT @gchahal
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
16) BBC’s China reporter @StephenMcDonell tells me… “In Beijing Covid has gone crazy, must be millions infected really quickly. I’m sure other cities will be next.”
Watch this BBC report — “China is overloaded and in for a rough few months”…
Stephen McDonell
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
17) Among those overloaded are home delivery (food) drivers… not enough of them to keep up. Many have #COVID themselves. Food delivery orders piling up unable to be delivered. It’s a shit show. (Screenshot from BBC video above h.
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
18) That said, China has very recent approved an aerosolized (inhaled) vaccine delivered via a nebulized form—it produced a greater antibody response than intramuscular—& also raised antibodies over 9-fold, and at lower dose. Mucosal vaccines could be key.
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/3560…
Safety and immunogenicity of heterologous boost immunisation with an orally administered aerosoli...
National Natural Science Foundation of China and Jiangsu Provincial Key Research and Development Program.
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
19) More importantly, inhaled vaccines also have the potential to induce a broader ‘mucosal immunity’, which could better defend against breakthrough infection, not just severe disease. This is why we need a mucosal vaccine trial funded soon. science.org/doi/10.1126/scii…
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
20) Key—aerosolized nebulizer inhaled mucosal vaccine booster also performed better against newer #SARSCoV2 variants than muscle injected vaccines. This is key.
Again, this research is from 🇨🇳. US has funded zero randomized trials on mucosal vaccines!
tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.…
Heterologous booster with inhaled adenovirus vector COVID-19 vaccine generated more neutralizing...
The rapid widespread Omicron subvariant BA.5 of SARS-CoV-2 has become a potential imminent pandemic threat, but available vaccines lack high efficacy against this subvariant. Thus, it is urgent to ...
tandfonline.com
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
21) While we know China’s old CoronaVac vaccine is weak, China’s newest aerosolized nebulizer-inhaled mucosal vaccine is likely more powerful — 14.5x stronger in eliciting antibodies versus CoronaVac. The US needs to invest in these next gen stuff.
medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/…
Aerosolized Ad5-nCoV booster vaccination elicited potent immune response against the SARS-CoV-2...
The SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant has become the dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant around the world and exhibits immune escape to current COVID-19 vaccines to some extent due to its numerous spike mutations....
medrxiv.org
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
22) And yes, China has emergency approved their inhaled vaccine (by CanSino) already for rollout. But most vaccines being administered in China is still the CoronaVac shot. My hope is the new miracle aerosolized inhaled vaccines will make a difference. 🙏 cnn.com/2022/09/06/china/chi…
China approves world's first inhaled Covid vaccine for emergency use | CNN
China has become the first country to green-light an inhaled Covid-19 vaccine, paving the way for potential use of the needle-free product in the country, where suppressing the spread of Covid-19...
cnn.com
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
23) In case anyone wondering— yes, US has one in development too—Washington University developed one — and currently licensed to Ocugen. Yale has developed a nasal one too. But the problem is that there are no US funding for any trials! Warp speed 2.0??? source.wustl.edu/2022/10/was…
WashU COVID-19 nasal vaccine technology licensed to Ocugen - The Source - Washington University in...
Washington University has licensed the rights to develop, manufacture and commercialize its proprietary COVID-19 nasal vaccine in the United States, Europe and Japan to Ocugen Inc., a U.S.-based...
source.wustl.edu
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
24) Back to China crisis—folks, I’m not exaggerating on the up to 2 million dead from #COVID in China in the coming months. Research teams have modeled it. It’s possible if no intervention. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
25) So how much did China’s COVID mitigation rules change? Actually 🇨🇳 lifted only some of the most severe—but still left A LOT OF MITIGATIONS—China did not throw rip up everything and reopen like UK or US did ([cough] @CDCDirector fail)—hence #COVID just that evasive. See 🧵
Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 7
🔔HUGE COVID RULES CHANGES—China lays out a new 10-point #COVID policy change. But it is **not** a Western ‘let it rip’. Key highlights:
📌asymptomatic/mild cases can now quarantine at home (but still needs 2x consecutive PCR negative tests on days 6&7)
🧵
nhc.gov.cn/xcs/gzzcwj/202212…
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
26) You don’t have to believe me. Many people didn’t in Jan 2020 when I tried to warn the “novel coronavirus” was a pandemic that the world hasn’t seen since 1918. And I’m saying that #CovidIsNotOver. I’m just an epidemiologist trying to warn… nymag.com/intelligencer/2020…
Why Was It So Hard to Raise the Alarm on the Coronavirus?
Though we often feel that we live in a sea of panic, it may be that the general din prevents us from hearing most important warning cries.
nymag.com
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 19
27) I’m going to take a short break. China situation is fast moving. If you want more of my research and data aggregation— subscribe ✍️ below. I’ll post this thread 🧵 there shortly. Stay safe everyone 🙏
drericding.substack.com/subs…
Dr. Eric Ding’s Journal
Public health need-to-know concerns, health policy, health politics, and info to protect your family. Special health bulletins from an epidemiologist, health economist, and nutrition scientist. Also...
drericding.substack.com
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 20
28) I’ve been reading comments. some call me a “CCP propagandist” or a “communist shill”. Nothing could be further from the truth. Ethnic Chinese makes me care, doesn’t make me a shill. I have been a public health advocate for 16 years. Here is an old NYT piece on who I am… 👇
Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
21 Dec 2021
📝A note—Many say racist things to me—& some folks don’t like I share precautionary/doom-y COVID data. Some call me a CCP spy, pharma shill, attention seeking personal brand builder… But I’m none of those. Who I really am:🧵
This from exactly 10-yrs ago—
well.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/…
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 20
29) WHITE HOUSE'S National Security Council KIRBY says—
⚠️U.S. MONITORING OF CHINA'S COVID SITUATION, INCLUDES POTENTIAL IMPACT ON U.S. COMPANIES AND SUPPLY CHAINS
➡️We need to worry about supply chains if China #COVID explosion continues.
HT @DeItaone
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 21
30) 📍UPDATE—China 🇨🇳’s chief epidemiologist now says that “the worst is yet to come”, @selinawangtv. There will likely be 3 big 🇨🇳 #COVID19 waves coming—this is just the first. ➡️Next big wave will come after the Lunar new year travels in late January!
Selina Wang
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Dec 21
31) China has HUGE vulnerable elderly population that is unvaccinated or undervaccinated—➡️130 million such people. Mortality in this group would be likely very high— easily over 1 million if the virus spreads unchecked in China. This is why 1-2 million total deaths is possible.
Philip Schellekens
@fibke
Dec 21
130 million elderly in China have not yet received a COVID-19 vaccine booster
Among them, 40 million are completely unvaccinated
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Nelson R Antoniosi F
@nlliantoniosi
Dec 19
Replying to @DrEricDing
@MiguelNicolelis
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Miguel Nicolelis
@MiguelNicolelis
Dec 19
Estou acompanhando!
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Lucy McBride, MD
@drlucymcbride
Dec 19
Replying to @DrEricDing @ADHD_Mel
Eric please. This video should be accompanied by a trigger warning given the enormity of trauma so many people in this world - & particularly in China right now - have experienced.
To be clear: I am not saying turn a blind eye.
Just pls reconsider how you *message* the horror.
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Lucy McBride, MD
@drlucymcbride
Dec 19
Also, did you get permission from these patients & families to display these vulnerable & helpless moments?
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Andy Boreham 安柏然
@AndyBxxx
Dec 19
Replying to @DrEricDing
You lost me at “Jennifer Zeng.”
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Alejandro Macias
@doctormacias
Dec 19
Replying to @DrEricDing
Pues sí
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Hector Rojas 🇲🇽
@rojashector
Dec 20
Cómo pinta todo esto para el mundo? ¿Es una variante diferente no detectable con las pruebas actuales y por eso bajaron la guardia de esa forma en China? Que opinión tiene doc? Saludos.
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Joey Palimeno
@PalimenoForGAD1
Dec 19
Replying to @DrEricDing @BlackKnight10k
Well the Chinese government did refuse to use vaccines from Moderna and Pfizer because the companies wouldn’t give them the mRNA formula. Things would probably be a lot different if they accepted the vaccines.
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Babalu
@goingtobananas
Dec 19
Replying to @DrEricDing
@RodZeidan sabe alguma coisa a respeito desse fio? Fiquei curiosa sobre a extensão e verdade dos fatos
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Rodrigo Zeidan
@RodZeidan
Dec 19
Qd amanhecer aqui faço um fio sobre isso
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